Date:         Wed, 5 Nov 2003 18:28:55 -0500
Reply-To:     Maryland Birds & Birding <MDOSPREY@HOME.EASE.LSOFT.COM>
Sender:       Maryland Birds & Birding <MDOSPREY@HOME.EASE.LSOFT.COM>
From:         Norm Saunders <marshhawk@ATT.NET>
Subject:      FW: Cave Swallows this weekend?
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What's good for New Jersey should be doubly good for the Fall Rarities Weekend in Maryland this Saturday!  Get out and check those swallows!!!

> -----Original Message-----
> From: NJBirds - NJ Rare Bird Alert Mailing list=20  
>[mailto:njbirds@Princeton.EDU] On Behalf Of Paul Lehman
> Sent: Wednesday, November 05, 2003 10:00 AM
> To: njbirds@Princeton.EDU
> Subject: Cave Swallows this weekend?
>=20
>=20
> NJBIRDS:
>=20
> This is a different sort of post to NJBIRDS, as I am going to=20  
>predict a future rare-bird occurrence rather than report on a=20  
>recently discovered bird!  I think there is an excellent=20  likelihood 
>that Cave Swallows (and perhaps an Ash-throated=20  Flycatcher or two) 
>will be found this weekend. A pronounced=20  cold front is forecast to 
>have arrived by then, with much=20  colder temps and NW winds on 
>Saturday into Sunday. This=20  follows the prolonged warm spell with 
>continuous southerly=20  flow of some sort that many of us have been 
>having the past=20  week. The next day or two has some rain and 
>continuing south=20  and southwesterly flow ahead of the front, which 
>should help=20  the process along. Swallows may start to appear 
>Thurs/Fri in=20  the eastern Great Lakes region, and on Sat/Sun 
>(possibly late=20
> Fri) in the Eastern Seaboard states. So get out and check=20  your 
>favorite swallow spots: coastlines, rivers, lakes, and=20  ponds when 
>the cold air and NW winds arrive!
>     Also, given the prolonged mild period with southerly=20  flow, 
>there has very likely been a "penned up" migration of=20  regular 
>short-distance passerine migrants, owls, and hawks,=20  so the weekend 
>should be good for those as well.
>     If I'm wrong... I'll owe you all a Wawa coffee....
>=20
> --Paul Lehman

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