MDOsprey, While I was in the midst of composing my post on the likely species, this was posted to VA-BIRD. The below is forwarded from VA-BIRDS, recently posted by Ned Brinkley who has done more research into Hurricane borne vagrancy on the East Coast than anyone else, I think. I did a little clean up editing. Subj: [VA-BIRD] Storm Histories & Tracks (Ned Brinkley) Date: 9/15/99 2:58:38 PM Eastern Daylight Time From: birder6@JUNO.COM (Larry R Lynch) Sender: VA-BIRD@LIST.AUDUBON.ORG (Virginia Birding) Reply-to: VA-BIRD@LIST.AUDUBON.ORG (Virginia Birding) To: VA-BIRD@LIST.AUDUBON.ORG To: VA-birders Fm: Ned Brinkley There has been a great deal of discussion on the net and the Weather Channel comparing Hurricane Floyd to the "Great Savannah Hurricane" of late August 1893, a cyclone that occurred during a period of intense storm activity much like the current period. It was also known as the "Sea Islands" Hurricane, I think. Though there were few observers active at that time, sizable numbers of seabirds were noted in conjunction with that storm. From Beaufort Harbor to Cape Lookout, thousands of storm-petrels (brown ones, species unknown) littered the beaches, observed from 30 August onward (see Auk 16: 247). Likewise, the Isle of Palms, SC, was covered with dead storm-petrels. A single brown storm-petrel at St. Albans, VT, may be connected with this storm as well, though its date of discovery is not fixed. Records of large storm-petrels in connection with the Sea Islands Hurricane Band-rumped Storm-Petrel, 1, 08/28/1893 Washington DC Sea Islands Band-rumped Storm-Petrel, 1, 08/29/1893 Washington DC, Sea Islands Leach's Storm-Petrel, 1, 08/29/1893 Washington DC, Sea Islands, W. Palmer Leach's Storm-Petrel, 1, 08/30/1893, Washington DC, Sea Islands, W. Palmer Leach's Storm-Petrel, 1, d, 08/27/1893, Isle of Palms SC, GH of 1893 Edward von Siebhold Dingle Records of Black-capped Petrel in connection with the Sea Islands Hurricane 1, 08/30/1893, Blacksburg, Montgomery Co.,VA 2, 08/30/1893, near Winchester, Frederick Co., VA 1, 09/??/1893, Cayuga Lake, Cayuga Co., NY AMNH 98756 1, 08/28/1893, Verona Beach, Oneida Lake, Oneida Co., NYAMNH 458986 1, 09/??/1893, Pittsfield, MA 1, 08/??/1893, location not known specifically, VT 1, 08/??/1893, NH 1, 10/30/1893, Toronto Island, ON 1, 1893 Oakville, ON Revised forecasts are showing a track more like that of Bertha of 1996, a bit west of Bertha's track. That would mean devastation of the coastal plains of Virginia and North Carolina, at minimum. We are boarding up and stocking up in Cape Charles in anticipation of the worst. It is my expectation, based on records from Hurricane #4 from late September 1938, and Hurricane Hazel of 1954, that this strong storm will be importing a number of tropicbirds into the interior, something that has not happened on a large scale for a half-century. Observers on inland lakes should be especially vigilant. Below are relevant records. Tropicbirds only seem to be entrained inland in any numbers with very powerful cyclones. Records of single White-tailed Tropicbirds in connection with strong hurricanes, USA 09/25/1938, Jones Beach, Nassau, NY, Hurricane #4 (Category 5), sight record 09/22/1938, Easthampton, Suffolk, NY, Hurricane #4, specimen 10/03/1938, Easthampton, Suffolk, NY Hurricane #4, specimen 09/??/1938 Adamant, VT, Hurricane #4, specimen 09/??/1938, North Danville, VT, Hurricane #4, specimen 09/22/1938, Woodstock, VT, Hurricane #4, specimen, subspecies catesbyi 10/15/1954, Staunton, Augusta Co., VA, Hurricane Hazel, Specimen mounted (Lynchburg Coll) 10/16/1954, Gettysburg, PA Hurricane Hazel, specimen lost, Phaethon sp. 10/16/1954, Nanticoke, Luzerne Co., PA, Hurricane Hazel, sight record 10/26/1954 Ellisburg, Jefferson Co., NY, Hurricane Hazel, specimen: NYSM 17046 Ned Brinkley Cape Charles, VA