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Subject:

Pelagic - Not very promising

From:

Edward Boyd

Reply-To:

Maryland Birds & Birding

Date:

Wed, 20 Oct 2004 00:07:21 -0400

To all those hoping for a good pelagic trip out of Lewes, Delaware on
Saturday, this forecast sounds like a double dose of Dramamine-ULTRA might
be in order. Take note especially of the forecasted seas SUBSIDING to 12-20
FEET by Saturday (Yes, says TWELVE to TWENTY FEET!):

> OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
> NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WASHINGTON DC
> OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER/OCEAN FORECAST BRANCH
> 1030 AM EDT TUE 19 OCT 2004
>
> W CENTRAL N ATLC CONTINENTAL SHELF AND SLOPE WATERS BEYOND 20 NM
> TO 250 NM OFFSHORE...INCLUDING S OF GEORGES BANK FROM 1000 FMS
> TO 250 NM OFFSHORE.
>
> ANZ089-192030-
> .SYNOPSIS...A STATIONARY FRONT NEAR 39N WILL DRIFT S TONIGHT.
> A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRES WILL MOVE E ALONG THE FRONT LATE THIS
> AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. ANOTHER LOW WILL MOVE OFF THE N CAROLINA
> COAST WED...SLOWLY MOVE NE ON THU TO ABOUT 250 NM S OF CAPE
> COD...THEN BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY BY FRI WHILE INTENSIFYING.
> THIS LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SE AND WEAKEN ON SAT.
> $$
>
> ANZ084-192030-
> HUDSON CANYON TO BALTIMORE CANYON INCLUDING THE WATERS S OF 1000
> FMS OUT TO 40N 65W TO 38N 67W TO 36N 70W.
> 1030 AM EDT TUE 19 OCT 2004
>
> ...GALE FORCE WINDS EXPECTED WED AND WED NIGHT...
> ...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE FRI W OF 70W E OF 1000 FMS...
> ...STORM FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE THU INTO SAT...
>
> .THIS AFTERNOON...S OF 39N...S TO SW WINDS 15 TO 25 KT
> INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 KT...EXCEPT BECOMING W 10 TO 20 KT OVER
> SW PORTION. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT BUILDING TO 5 TO 8 FT. N OF 39N...E
> TO NE WINDS 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT BUILDING TO 4 TO 7 FT.
> SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS THROUGHOUT.
> .TONIGHT...N OF 38N...WINDS BECOMING E TO NE 20 TO 30 KT. S OF
> 38N...WINDS DECREASING TO VARIABLE 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS BECOMING 6
> TO 9 FT THROUGHOUT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS.
> .WED...N OF 38N...E TO NE WINDS INCREASING TO 25 TO 30 KT...
> EXCEPT TO 35 KT W OF 70W. SEAS BUILDING TO 11 TO 14 FT. S OF
> 38N...VARIABLE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT BECOMING E TO SE 10 TO 20
> KT...EXCEPT SW OVER THE FAR S WATERS. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. SCATTERED
> SHOWERS AND TSTMS THROUGHOUT.
> .WED NIGHT...WINDS BECOMING E TO NE AND INCREASING TO 30 TO 40
> KT THROUGHOUT. SEAS BUILDING TO 12 TO 18 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS
> AND TSTMS.
> .THU...E OF 1000 FMS...NE WINDS INCREASING TO 40 TO 55 KT...
> EXCEPT BECOMING E TO SE 30 TO 40 KT FAR SE. SEAS BUILDING TO 15
> TO 25 FT. W OF 1000 FMS...N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO
> 19 FT. WINDS AND SEAS HIGHEST NEAR 1000 FMS.
> .FRI...W OF 70W...N TO NE WINDS 35 TO 50 KT...EXCEPT INCREASING
> TO 50 TO 65 KT E OF 1000 FMS. SEAS BUILDING TO 17 TO 30 FT...
> HIGHEST E OF 1000 FMS. E OF 70W...E TO NE WINDS 40 TO 55 KT
> DECREASING TO 25 TO 35 KT LATE...EXCEPT BECOMING S TO SE 15 TO
> 25 KT OVER SE PART. SEAS 14 TO 28 FT...HIGHEST NW.
> .SAT...WINDS DECREASING TO N TO NE 25 TO 35 KT...EXCEPT BECOMING
> 20 TO 25 KT OVER FAR SE PART AND ALSO W OF 1000 FMS. SEAS
> SUBSIDING TO 12 TO 20 FT LATE.
> $$
>
> ANZ085-192030-
> BALTIMORE CANYON TO HATTERAS CANYON OUT TO 36N 70W TO 34N 71W
> 1030 AM EDT TUE 19 OCT 2004
>
> ...GALE FORCE WINDS EXPECTED WED NIGHT AND THU...
> ...STORM FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE FRI INTO SAT...
>
> .THIS AFTERNOON...S WINDS 15 TO 25 KT BECOMING SW. SEAS 4 TO 6
> FT. WINDS AND SEAS BECOMING HIGHEST NE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
> TSTMS.
> .TONIGHT...SE PORTION...SW WINDS 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. NW
> PORTION...S TO SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...EXCEPT BECOMING E TO NE 10
> TO 20 KT N OF 37N LATE. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
> TSTMS THROUGHOUT.
> .WED...SE PORTION...S TO SW WINDS INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 KT. NW
> PORTION...S TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT BECOMING N TO NE AND
> INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 TO 11 FT
> THROUGHOUT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS.
> .WED NIGHT...SE PORTION...S TO SW WINDS INCREASING TO 25 TO 35
> KT...BECOMING W TO SW. NW PORTION...N TO NE WINDS INCREASING TO
> 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 10 TO 14 FT THROUGHOUT. SCATTERED
> SHOWERS AND TSTMS.
> .THU...WINDS BECOMING N TO NE 30 TO 40 KT THROUGHOUT...EXCEPT TO
> 45 KT FAR NE PORTION. SEAS BUILDING TO 12 TO 20 FT...EXCEPT TO
> 24 FT OVER FAR NE PORTION.
> .FRI...N TO NW WINDS 30 TO 40 KT...EXCEPT INCREASING TO 40 TO 55
> KT OVER NE PORTION. SEAS 14 TO 23 FT...EXCEPT TO 27 FT OVER FAR
> NE PORTION.
> .SAT...N TO NW WINDS 40 TO 50 KT DECREASING TO 25 TO 35 KT...
> EXCEPT TO 20 TO 25 KT W OF 74W. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 11 TO 19 FT
> LATE...HIGHEST SE.
> $$
>