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Possible tropical system in Mid-Atlantic by late weekend/early next week.

From:

Edward Boyd

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Date:

Fri, 7 Sep 2007 17:04:59 +0000

For all of you weather wonks out there, there is currently a low pressure system situated over the gulf stream between Bermuda and the Southeast US. Latest indications are that the storm has organized a bit overnight and upper-level winds are favorable for further development. The storm may become a tropical depression by later today and could intensify enough to become a tropical storm by Saturday. The best guess track as of this morning was putting the storm into NC SW of Cape Hatteras, tracking northward inland just west of the VA Tidewater region, paralleling the bay on the western shore and then turning back to the northeast on a track that follows Cecil County to Philadelphia and then along the coast of Long Island. If the forecasted track holds up it should certainly have an impact on this region, but the lack of complete organization and the meandering course that it is currently drifting on keeps everything very much in the air at this point. This storm is still east of th
e gulf stream and it will cross these waters while intensification takes place. How strong a storm this becomes and what it might scoop up before making land-fall is certainly unknown at this point, but this system deserves close watching. This is a great time of year for at least tropical terns to fallout following a system like this.

Official National Hurricane Center Statement:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIADSAAT+shtml/071242.shtml?

Infrared loop:
http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huirloop.html

Ed Boyd
Westminster, MD